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Brazilian Moicano has a rich experience in the UFC and has been successful in the lightweight division. Scottish Duncan, although he has shown his knockouts, has not yet won at the top level. Both fighters are Brazilian jiu-jitsu virtuosos, but Moicano has already demonstrated powerful victories. The Brazilian has more experience and wins at the highest level. Therefore, I predict Moicano's victory.
In the match between Duncan and Moicano, it is more likely that Duncan will emerge victorious. He has shown resilience and strong will, as well as the ability to sway fights in his favor. Moicano, on the other hand, has shown weaker performances, especially against Dariush. Duncan, despite being the underdog, possesses youth and strength, which could be a key factor in this fight that is likely to go over 3 rounds.