Forecast: Sabalenka (-2.5) by games. Sabalenka has won 22 out of 23 matches this season, with no defeats in Miami. Gauff has almost always gone through tough three-set battles. Aryna demonstrates a high level of serving and regained her form in the semifinal. Gauff has less stability over the course of a match, and fatigue from tough matches could take its toll. Sabalenka has the advantage in both form and psychological resilience.
Miami Open 2026 Final: Sabalenka vs. Gauff. Sabalenka is the favorite thanks to her impeccable form in the tournament, as well as her pursuit of the Sunshine Double. Gauff looks more fatigued and spends more time on the court. The crowd support will help Gauff show character, but Sabalenka has the advantage in physical and mental readiness. Predicted outcome: Sabalenka wins 2-1.